Sunday, December 19, 2010

Mass Rail Transit (MRT)

Magic bullet may miss its mark
http://www.sun2surf.com/
SPEAK UP! :: Letters

IT has been announced that the Mass Rail Transit (MRT) construction will begin in July next year, and we are told that the RM36 billion project (not including land acquisition cost) will generate more jobs and income for the nation. MRT has been touted as the magic bullet to solve congestion woes in greater Kuala Lumpur.
But we have not been told on how the project can sustain itself financially and fulfil the needs of the rakyat equitably. How can the most expensive transport undertaking in the nation’s history proceed even before the endorsement of a public transport masterplan.
The high cost of the rail network means that fewer areas can be served with public transport, and most of the cost will be disproportionately shouldered by the majority who will benefit the least from the proposed MRT alignments.
Last year’s audit report on Prasarana showed that the average LRT fare of RM1.60 has to be increased to nearly RM9 for the LRT infrastructural costs to be fully recouped within the next 20 years. Since Prasarana’s bonds are guaranteed by the government, every taxpayer will have to eventually foot the bill, no matter whether their homes are near or far away from the stations.
There have been talks on the MRT to replicate the success story of the subsidy-less Hong Kong Mass Transit Rail company, but it will take the closed traffic system city-state tens of years for the capital investments to be recouped through rail plus retail approach. Even then, the corridors can easily adapt to the catchment of the surrounding ultra high density population and the city-centric employment concentration.
The pedestrian accessibility to our rail stations has yet to reflect the 400m radius of demand depicted in our structural plans due to unaddressed man-made barriers, and no one has figured how the tremendous fortunes made by certain real estate beneficiaries situated next to our present rail stations can be tapped to recoup the rail infrastructure costs. Worse, there was recent news on high market value lands previously owned by Keretapi Tanah Melayu Berhad, which should have been used to enhance KTM Komuter capacity, being sold off to fit the interests of certain real estate developers.
Greater KL consists of fragmented low and medium density housing sprawls, which are segregated by complicated networks of expressways. Employment centres are dispersed, and traffic gridlocks are building across the outer rings of Greater KL.
Just like a highway will remain unreachable to its nearby suburbs without access roads to the nearest exits, rapid transit lines will remain inaccessible without the support of local transit networks. The emphasis on making our car-oriented infrastructure more transit friendly, on speeding up the present feeder buses through better network designs and on making our streets more permeable and pedestrian-oriented should precede new mass transit announcements, not the other way around.
Communities must be empowered to decide on how their suburbs, towns and cities should be designed, and how the scarce roads available can be adapted to move more people instead of more cars. As walking is the single biggest means to access transit, no amount of enforcement powers can beat the eyes and ears of the locals in safeguarding their bicycle lanes, sidewalks and open spaces from errant motorcyclists and car drivers if such amenities exist and the transit services are reliable.
In world-class cities, it is the flexible use of different mobility tools, not the presence of state-of-the-art metros, that encourage people to use public transport. Pedestrians, cyclists and car drivers learn to co-exist with trams and buses through right-of-way transit classification and prioritisation.
The fundamental mindset that accords respect from drivers to pedestrians, and from those who travel individually to those who travel collectively, can be shaped through multimodal solutions that interact with one another, not brand new stand-alone rail solutions one after another.
RM36 billion is more than sufficient to build modern circulating tram lines for all major downtown areas in Malaysia, connected with Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) lines with exclusive busways on the arterial roads and local circulator lines with queue jumps at bottleneck junctions in the suburbs. RM36 billion can even build more than 3,000km of BRT lines with MRT-like passenger capacity.
With these, new jobs can be created all over Malaysia, and urban centres can be made more compact and sustainable.
Public transport best practices around the globe show that local transit organising authorities play the crucial role in bridging the gap between spatial and transit planning through constant participatory planning and empowerment. Our local planners within the already scattered township jurisdictions all across the Klang Valley are in the dark on how the structural plans will jive in with the future transport needs, especially considering the top-down secrecy of the MRT alignments.
Participatory approach is a fundamental tool for good governance, and it requires the trustees of public funds to afford the public their rights to evaluate and approve choices based on transparent studies and findings, in which the pros and cons are deliberated by experts and presented to all affected stakeholders.
So far, there have been no studies made public on MRT’s cost-benefit comparison with other alternative transit modes such as BRT, trams and BET (which can work perfectly with traffic restraint and transit priority measures).
The people’s need should be put first.
Muhammad Zulkarnain HamzahShah Alam

Updated: 10:57PM Sun, 19 Dec 2010

Saturday, October 2, 2010

U.S. apologizes for syphilis experiment in Guatemala

U.S. apologizes for syphilis experiment in Guatemala
By Maggie Fox, Health and Science Editor
WASHINGTON | Fri Oct 1, 2010 5:24pm EDT

(Reuters) - The United States apologized on Friday for an experiment conducted in the 1940s in which U.S. government researchers deliberately infected Guatemalan prison inmates, women and mental patients with syphilis.

In the experiment, aimed at testing the then-new drug penicillin, inmates were infected by prostitutes and later treated with the antibiotic.

"The sexually transmitted disease inoculation study conducted from 1946-1948 in Guatemala was clearly unethical," Secretary of State Hillary Clint¬¬on and Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said in a statement.

"Although these events occurred more than 64 years ago, we are outraged that such reprehensible research could have occurred under the guise of public health. We deeply regret that it happened, and we apologize to all the individuals who were affected by such abhorrent research practices," the statement said.

Guatemala condemned the experiment as a crime against humanity and said it would study whether there were grounds to take the case to an international court.

"President Alvaro Colom considers these experiments crimes against humanity and Guatemala reserves the right to denounce them in an international court," said a government statement, which announced a commission to investigate the matter.

Guatemalan human rights activists called for the victims' families to be compensated, but a U.S. official said it was not clear there would be any compensation.

President Barack Obama called Colom to offer his personal apology for what had happened, a White House spokesman said.

The experiment, which echoed the infamous 1960s Tuskegee study on black American men who were deliberately left untreated for syphilis, was uncovered by Susan Reverby, a professor of women's studies at Wellesley College in Massachusetts.

696 EXPOSED TO STD
Reverby found out about it this year while following up on a book about Tuskegee and, unusually for a researcher, informed the U.S. government before she published her findings.

"In addition to the penitentiary, the studies took place in an insane asylum and an army barracks," Reverby said.

"In total, 696 men and women were exposed to the disease and then offered penicillin. The studies went on until 1948 and the records suggest that, despite intentions, not everyone was probably cured," she said in a statement.

Her findings, to be published in January in the Journal of Policy History, link the Tuskegee and Guatemalan studies.

"In 1946-48, Dr. John C. Cutler, a Public Health Service physician who would later be part of the Syphilis Study in Alabama in the 1960s and continue to defend it two decades after it ended in the 1990s, was running a syphilis inoculation project in Guatemala, co-sponsored by the PHS, the National Institutes of Health, the Pan American Health Sanitary Bureau (now the Pan American Health Organization) and the Guatemalan government," she wrote.

"It was the early days of penicillin and the PHS was deeply interested in whether penicillin could be used to prevent, not just cure, early syphilis infection, whether better blood tests for the disease could be established, what dosages of penicillin actually cured infection and to understand the process of reinfection after cures."
The full paper is available here%20Reverby%20'Normal%20Exposure'.pdf

Dr. Francis Collins, director of the U.S. National Institutes of Health, said regulation prohibited such "risky and unethical" research today. He said the revelations could damage efforts to attract volunteers to take part in medical research today.

"I think the track record in past 20-30 years has been quite remarkable," Collins told reporters in a telephone briefing.

"But we all recognize that the Tuskegee study, which involved this same Dr. Cutler, did great damage to the trust ... particularly from the African-American community and for medical research."

Arturo Valenzuela, Assistant U.S. Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs, said it was not yet clear whether any compensation would be offered. It was also not clear whether any of the people who were experimented upon could be traced, but he said an investigation had been launched.

Collins said there were no records of the study at NIH other than the title of the original grant.Cutler retired as a professor at the University of Pittsburgh in 1985 and died in 2003.

(Additional reporting by Sarah Grainger in Guatemala; Editing by Anthony Boadle and Todd Eastham)
.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

“You just need to get started” is bad advice

“You just need to get started” is bad advice

I’m fascinated by people at the top levels of every field. Whether it’s CEOs, best-selling authors, presidents, or even Jason Bourne in The Bourne Identity, I love learning the techniques and mindsets that pros use to become the best.
At these rarefied levels, top performers use different techniques than average people.
Today, a guest post that will challenge your notions of success and of finding an idea to pursue.


How do the world’s most successful academics get published into toughest academic journals…multiple times each year?
How does a PhD student at MIT get a book published while studying an insanely challenging area, including…
“…distributed algorithms and lower bounds for wireless networks, with a particular focus on the intersection between theory and practice. A major direction in my theory work is the introduction of an abstract interference adversary that incarnates the diversity of unpredictable interference encountered in real wireless networks; e.g., as caused by unrelated devices on the same band, multipath effects, or electromagnetic inteference…”
Here’s one piece of the puzzle: They don’t “just get started” like so many of us have been taught to do.
The fallacy of “just get started”
How many times have you heard someone say, “You just need to get started”?
I’ve even said it myself — that the hardest part of nearly anything meaningful (health & fitness, managing your money, etc) is getting started.
But Cal Newport, a published author and PhD in computer science at MIT, disagrees.
Getting a chance to hear someone disagree with you and back it up beautifully with logic and examples is a rare thing. So today, I’ve invited Cal to write a detailed guest post about the importance of ideas — and the fallacies of thinking “just getting started” is the right answer.
He’ll show you why it’s important to look beyond quick tactical wins and instead focus on the strength of your idea, which takes painstaking practice and ongoing iteration.
In my Earn1k course — where I help people focus on earning money on the side — we blend quick-win tactics with ongoing attitudinal and behavioral change. For example, you can quickly learn which of your ideas will never make you any money. But to find an idea that will be highly profitable, and to construct a referral and lead-generation strategy that will have you drowning in new business…and to price your services so you’re making rich profits…that is not a 1-page worksheet. It takes work. And yet, it’s important to blend the two to capitalize on getting started and dominating over the long term.
Honestly, this is not the kind of stuff most blog readers want to hear. They want “tactics” and “tips” about how to “hack” their lives. But it’s important to blend quick wins with deep theory and rigor. The most successful people know this — and maintain a balance of quick wins and long-term strategy.
Take it away, Cal…

* * *

The Idea Virtuosos: Why the common advice of “You just need to get started” is bad advice”

Imagine that you’re a computer scientist submitting a paper to SIGCOMM, an elite academic conference focused on computer networks. Your task is daunting: Of the nearly 300 research papers submitted to this year’s conference, only 30 were accepted. Each of these accepted papers survived detailed reviews from at least five different experts and were then subject to an intense debate of their merits at the conference’s 2-day program committee meeting.
Not surprisingly, the papers that make it through this gauntlet are spectacular: they each present an original idea which is then examined, evaluated, justified, and discussed in painstaking detail.
Here’s a typical table; it’s taken from the winner of the best paper award at this year’s conference:
Multiply this level of detail to fill ten double-columned, small-fonted pages, and you’ve got yourself a reasonable submission.
At SIGCOMM there’s no wiggle room: to get a paper accepted your idea must be a blockbuster, otherwise it will crumble under the intense scrutiny it faces both from your own analysis and the many experts who will tear down your claims of importance, piece by piece.
What fascinates me about this feat is that the world’s top computer science professors replicate it many times each year. The professor I work with at MIT, for example, last year published two papers at SIGCOMM, not to mention two papers at equivalently elite networking conferences, and two more at a pair of elite conferences in related fields.
It follows: if you’re interested in the process of finding standout ideas — be it for a start-up, work project, blog topic, or book proposal — there’s perhaps no better experts to learn from than the idea virtuosos running top academic research labs. These professors face an impossibly high quality threshold for their work, and yet manage to match it with a half-dozen or more brilliant ideas each year. Once you dive inside their world, however, an unsettling reality becomes clear: it’s possible that the conventional wisdom about big accomplishment, which says getting started is the key to success, might be dead wrong.
It’s towards this unsettling notion that I turn your attention in this post.
My Scheduled Life
I’ve been at MIT for six years — the first five spent earning my PhD in computer science, and the last spent as a postdoctoral associate. Of the many things that surprised me about the Institute — a list which includes the alarming quantity of yelling and the inexpressible value of white boards — one that stands out is its dedication to meetings.
Here, for example, is a screen shot of my calendar from a typical week earlier this summer:
The events highlighted in red are regularly scheduled meetings associated with my research group, while the events highlighted in yellow are one-on-one research meetingsI happened to schedule that week. They all involve the same activities: discussing research papers and debating — often vigorously — the ideas they spawn.
This calendar highlights a reality of life at MIT: discussion and brainstorming are a core component of our research process. It’s understood that only the best ideas can survive the submission process of top conferences like SIGCOMM, therefore a hugeeffort is invested in identifying the best possible projects before getting started. As seen on my calendar above, it’s not unusual to dedicate 6 or more hours a week in formal brainstorming meetings, with at least another 6 – 12 spent exploring on your own time.
At MIT, the quality of the idea is everything.
Ideas vs. Progress
Notice that MIT’s idea-centric process (e.g., finding the right ideas is key) contrasts with the progress-centric process (e.g., getting started is key) that dominates popular discussion on getting things done.
For example:
  • Proponents of the progress-centric process says “getting started” is the most important step. To paraphrase a commentator on a past article I wrote on this subject: “You will fail at 100% of the opportunities you never try!”
  • Proponents of the idea-centric process, by contrast, note that the vast majority of ideas are mediocre. If you jump at every concept that seems viable, you’ll probably end up accomplishing little of consequence.
  • Proponents of the progress-centric process fear that they must tell people to get started right away, or these (hypothetical) others will remain mired in a procrastinatory sea of fear and comfort with conformity. To paraphrase another commenter: “Most folks just sit around waffling on everything and thus don’t do anything except complain about the status quo.”
  • Proponents of the idea-centric process aren’t interested in the psychological issues of other people; they want the unvarnished truth on what will maximize theirchances of success.
  • Proponents of the progress-centric process believe that the only way to test out an idea is to try it. To quote Scott Young (an insightful observer on these topics): “While you can learn something about a field by sitting on the sidelines, you won’t truly know about it until you dive right in.”
  • Proponents of the idea-centric process believe that in many fields, deep knowledge and expert feedback can differentiate between mediocre and great ideas. This requires a time-consuming commitment to learning about a field and a thick skin for harsh feedback, but you’d be hard pressed, for example, to find a successful serial entrepreneur, writer, or researcher who would start a project before feeling strongly about its chances for success.
In practice, this leads to the following types of difference:
  • progress-centric person who has an interesting idea for a book jumps right into writing it, while an idea-centric person runs the idea through a wringer — talking to agents and writers, looking for similar works that have sold recently, etc. — before deciding to invest the years required to write and market it.
  • progress-centric person quits his job to start his on blog-based online business, assuming he’ll figure out the details as he goes along, while an idea-centric personinvests the months — maybe years — of hard work necessary to find a business idea with a real chance of supporting him, understanding that the right answer might be for him to build a valuable skill before going freelance.
  • progress-centric person spends a month getting the small business she works for a strong Twitter presence, because that’s the thing to do, while an idea-centric person spends the same month studying more successful firms in their space, trying to identify what they’re doing better that could be efficiently replicated.
  • And so on…
Hypothetical situations, of course, can only take us so far. Let’s continue with two real world examples of idea-centric thinking in action…
The Difficulty of Finding Good Ideas: From Admissions to Animation
Earlier this summer I published a book on the college admission process. Its premise is simple: most people believe that getting accepted at a top college requires a stressful high school life; to counter this dangerous myth, I tell the stories of students who did well in the process while leading a low-stress and interesting life.
To the outside observer, the idea seems clear and obvious, therefore they likely assume the difficult part of this project was forcing myself to actually write. Reality, however, defies this assumption.
To see why, consider this screen shot from my e-mail archive:
Shown above are two crucial e-mails relating to my book. The earlier message, titled “one more…,” is from a conversation with my agent about potential book ideas. It contains my first reference to the idea of tackling college admissions as a book subject. (In the e-mail, I say: “One of the hottest issues right now is that of overachieving students burning out in their…quest to get into the right college…[but] many of the top students I interview…to put it simply, [are] relaxed.”)
The later e-mail, titled “Broadway Deal,” marks the Broadway Books imprint of Random House buying my book proposal. (Remember, for non-fiction, you sell the idea before you write the book; this e-mail timestamps me selling the idea, with all of the writing coming later.)
Notice the gap between the two dates. I started investigating the topic of college admissions in April of 2007 and didn’t complete and sell my final book proposal until October of 2008 — a span of 18 months!
(I’m not alone in this dedication to getting a book idea right; Ramit told me, for example, that it took him nine months to get from the general idea of writing his personal finance book to a specific 10-page outline.)
This same lesson keeps turning up the more you seek it. Consider, to name another example, the creative process behind the spectacular success of Pixar Animation Studios, which has an outrageously high average international gross of $550 million. In aWired Magazine cover article, penned by Jonah Lehrer, it’s revealed that the Pixar team is obsessed with getting their movie just right before diving into the business of actually making it.
They start, for example, with a series of intense story discussions in a Pixar-owned cabin, located 50 miles north of San Francisco. For Toy Story 3, it took 123 days between the start of this process and the completion of their first story board. This story board was then turned into a story reel (an animated flip book version of the movie where employees provide the voice acting). Using the reel, the team brutally dissects and improves the script, remaking the reel with each tweak, until the movie flows smoothly — every joke hitting, every plot point unfolding logically.
Up to this point, very little money has been invested. Only once the reel is perfect do they actual start the long and expensive process of animating frames and recording professional voices.
Your Personal R&D Lab
What’s the right way to integrate the idea-centric process into your own work flow? I want to conclude with a few practical guidelines for moving away from The Cult of the Start and embracing the importance of finding the right idea.
  • Learn the FieldThe ability to distinguish between mediocre and good ideas requires that you understand your field. In some fields this might require diving into a series of (probably) mediocre starter projects to get a feel for how things work. In many fields, however, talking to insiders and finding examples of both good and bad projects (and understanding the difference), can take you surprisingly far.
  • Seek Feedback
    Find people who know what they are talking about and ask for their unvarnished opinion on your idea. Assume most of your ideas will get shot down. (At MIT, for example, I assume a ratio of 1 paper for every 6 – 10 ideas that I give serious thought towards.) This is okay; even top idea generators expect a low hit rate.
  • Be Specific
    Establish a specific routine for systematically sorting through and exploring potential ideas. If you don’t have a routine, it’s easy to default to doing nothing at all. This routine should include regular exposure to material related to your field (for a writer, for example, this might mean subscribing to Publisher’s Lunch and keeping tabs on what’s selling and who’s writing it). Have a separate routine to follow after an idea passes a viability threshold. This routine should involve both harsh expert feedback and a thorough search for people who have done something similar (and their fate).
  • Seek Compulsion, Not (Internal) ConsistencyYour threshold for acting on idea should be an indefatigable compulsion to get started. That is, after looking at the idea from many different angles, comparing it to similar works, and seeking expert feedback, if it still seems strong: get started. Most people, by contrast, act on any idea that seems internally consistent. That should be your criteria for starting to investigate an idea, not your threshold for action. (Notice, defining this threshold is one of the hardest challenges of the idea-centric approach, and is something that requires practice and experience. If you want to see a well-defined threshold in action, talk to a venture capitalist — they are among the world’s experts on sorting the potentially big — no one, of course, can predict certain success — from the probably small.)
Conclusion
If your goal is to increase the speed that you churn through your project list, then this advice is not for you — the sooner you get started on optimizing your TweekDeck configuration, or whatever, the better. The same applies for lifestyle changes (be it a new fitness program or learning a new language): these can be important projects in your life, but they’re not the type of accomplishment where the quality of the idea matters — so ignore what I say here.
On the other hand, when you’re talking about lasting accomplishment – the type you’ll be remembered for — it’s hard to avoid the reality that great ideas require a great investment of time to uncover. The sooner you make peace with this mindset — even if it means waiting longer before quitting your job to become an entrepreneur or diving into your brilliant book idea — the sooner you can start making important things happen.
Cal Newport’s latest book, How to Be a High School Superstar is ostensibly about hacking the stress out of the college admissions process, but is secretly a guide for anyone interested in building a more interesting life.

32 comments

Leave a comment
1Angela of Neglected Princess September 14, 2010 at 7:13 am
Fascinating article! I have spent more years than I care to count starting new projects and spinning my wheels. I have finally come to the realization that I should do some research before investing blood, sweat, tears, time and money in another project.
Here’s my question: what if your field does not exist? What if no one is doing or writing about or studying what you want to do/ write/ study? Should you take that as a big-ass HINT and move on- or should you have faith that you are a trailblazer and one of your ideas will stick?
2Kelly September 14, 2010 at 8:33 am
I can’t help but think of one of Gretchen Rubin’s favorite sayings: The opposite of a great truth is also true. Some people just need to get started and others need to focus in on getting the details right.
The real take away here is to take a look at your own projects and determine if you haven’t gotten started or if you haven’t gotten serious about making it work.
3Leigh September 14, 2010 at 8:37 am
I think it’s a question of scale. A project like writing a book and a project like learning yoga require different approaches. It’s completely fair to be idea-centric when it comes to larger projects that require a lot of energy. But I also think it’s good to be progress-centric when you run into emotional roadblocks on particular projects. You need both; it’s a balance sort of deal. The trick is learning when to take which approach.
Great guest post.
4Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:14 pm
That’s a really good way of thinking about it. When it comes to reorganizing your spice drawer, or whatever, either shit or get off the pot.
By contrast, if you’re going to quit your job to start a business, that’s worth some more thought first.

5Justin Jackson September 14, 2010 at 9:07 am



This article is just plain dumb. The author defines “just getting started” too narrowly: eg. the person who quits his job and jumps into a business idea without thinking.
But even the “idea centric” person needs to “get started.” They just get started differently: they do their research by studying and theorizing, while the “progress centric” person starts by trying it out.
It seems the main difference between an “idea centric” and a “progress centric” is PROCESS. And I’m not convinced, based on the author’s logic, that one is better than another.
QUOTE: “You’d be hard pressed…to find a successful serial entrepreneur, writer, or researcher who would start a project before feeling strongly about its chances for success.”
I can think of a lot of successful companies and people that try things all the time. Take Google for example:
Winners: Google Ads, Gmail, Search
Losers: Wave, Nexus 1, Video, Catalog Search, Dodgeball, Buzz, Lively, Page Creator, Friend Connect, Latitude…..
6Ramit Sethi September 14, 2010 at 9:26 am
Is it dumb? Or do you just disagree with it?
There is a difference. And the way you represent that difference reflects on you.
7K00kyKelly September 14, 2010 at 10:11 am
Yes, totally agree. This article is really about HOW to get started. Cal dances around the problem of not getting started (doing nothing) but never really addresses it.
8Justin Jackson September 14, 2010 at 10:16 am
I used the word (maybe incorrectly), because it opens with, as Tyler as commented below, a “dumbed down” premise: “You just need to get started is bad advice.”
I can turn that around as well: “Is it bad advice, or do you just disagree with it?”
In both cases you and I used a strong word (“dumb,” and “bad”) to express a strong sentiment.
9Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:16 pm
Of course the main difference is “process.” I am presenting two different processes for trying to accomplish influential results, and I’m arguing that the idea-centric process works better.
(And you’re crazy if you think Google doesn’t puts a fantastic amount of due diligence into their acquisition decisions.)

10John Brougher September 14, 2010 at 9:07 am



Dr. Newport’s guest post here is really well thought-out, but I’m going to have to disagree with the principle in practice. To overgeneralize a bit, the people I know and work with need to be more progress-centric. Failure isn’t their issue. Their problem is not that they’ve started fifteen companies, each of which has struggled, or that twenty of their half-written articles or books have fallen flat. Their problem is that discussion of improving one’s life never turns to action. And that’s not necessarily their fault–we’re often trained from a very young age to endure through hard situations needlessly, focus on safe options rather than risks, etc.
In any case, I think the article’s thesis is a useful thought exercise, and is quite compelling if your sole goal is to cull only the best ideas ever, but if my goal is to earn more, to accomplish my goals, or to achieve my career dreams, I can’t easily recommend anything other than a progress-centric mindset.
11Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:19 pm
I appreciate the thoughtfulness of your comment.
I want to note, however, that people’s psychological barriers to making change in their life is separate from the issue of what process has a better chance of producing influential results.

12Tyler Wells, CPA September 14, 2010 at 9:21 am



It’s unfortunate that a great concept has to be opened with a stupid premise to get people to read it. Controversy sells, not quality, and thus the heading “You just need to get started is bad advice.” Clearly the quality of the thought process is hugely important in the result, but you’ll never get there if you don’t get started, make mistakes, and refine your idea on the way.
13Ramit Sethi September 14, 2010 at 9:32 am
I take any blame, as I added the title myself.

14Peter September 14, 2010 at 9:30 am



I liked this article but something that stuck me was the definition of “getting started”. It wasn’t explicitly defined and I think its reference was ambiguous – Cal seems to imply that “getting started” actually means “launching your product”. For example, the reference to Pixar – I could argue they did “just get started”, they went to the cabin and started brainstorming and carving the idea. With regards to you, Ramit, you did “just get started” by researching the book idea, testing the market etc.
In both examples, action was taken right away but it was a specific kind of action, preparatory action — in neither example was a mediocre product launched right away. I think that’s the difference. Cal implies that “you” shouldn’t launch a product without first preparing the product – a great point which I think underlies much of this blog and the advice from successful entrepreneurs.
I think the article should have been titled, “you just need to launch your product is bad advice.” But with that, I’m not totally convinced. Market research, product preparation, etc. should always be a first step, I agree, but at some point I think there comes a time to get your product out there, PROVIDED, you still have control over the business to make changes “quickly”, e.g., a web based business – a lot of the mixergy interviewees with successful web based entrepreneurs suggest launching your product, analyzing how its used, what’s working, what’s not and iterating – adapting the product to the market. In contrast, iterating obviously wouldn’t work for a situation like submitting your paper for a review, as Cal uses for an example, where you only have one shot.
anyways, good read.
pete
15Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:24 pm
It’s a good point, because the boundary of what constitutes “getting started” can be loose.
In this article, I meant getting started to mean fixing a particular idea and starting the process of “producing it.” In research, this means actually starting to build a system or prove a theorem; in movies, this means hiring the crew; in business, this means setting up the infrastructure, polishing the product, etc. In essence, I’m arguing to spend more time sifting through ideas before this fixing stage.

16Jim E. September 14, 2010 at 9:33 am



I think it’s fascinating how he’s overlooked in his idea centric matrix the system at MIT for generating idea’s in institutionalized (and is institutionalized in other schools and studies). My wife is a professor, she has to generate the same exact thing. Through her phd studies this entire process also took place. I gaurantee that this training in idea concept holds in all top level research universities. Additionally my sister is a novelist. Took creative writing through school. The exact same approach in terms of idea generation and vetting also took place (they call it workshopping). The higher up in every world you go, the smaller that world becomes and the easier it is to ask for opinions amongst your peers (the threat of idea loss also becomes much easier to manage). The trick is stepping into that new world and understanding there is a place to bounce idea’s off the wall, you just need to find the right court to play on. From that perspective you can transfer this same methodology to even fitness or banking programs. It doesn’t do any good to talk to your out of work, mooching off parents sibling about banking expertise, nor should you discuss getting fit with a professional athelete. You need to find the correct forum of support and recognize that’s the place to flesh out the idea. Going to the wrong court may be getting started, but progess is recognizing your on a tennis court with a racqetball racket and doing something about it.

17David Kadavy September 14, 2010 at 9:38 am



At first I was really skeptical, but after reading the article, I think I could benefit from following some of this advice. I’m very much a “progress-centric.”
But, being “progress-centric” can help someone develop the experience and knowledge necessary to envision a project of grand scale. So, there’s still hope for us.

18Jenni September 14, 2010 at 9:39 am



What an excellent article. I’d say that “seeking feedback” is the most important component of the idea-centric model. Whether it’s your research article, a book proposal, or a reel for a movie, collaboration with others is essential to refining or rejecting an idea.

19Brad September 14, 2010 at 10:02 am



The whole concept of “idea-centric” vs “progress-centric” feels fabricated. Every project starts with an idea and at some point moves into a progress or execution phase (and then jumps back and forth between the two for the life of the project).
Even then, good luck telling the two apart. Take Cal’s example of Toy Story 3 as “idea-centric.” Let’s pretend they had implemented it being “progress-centric.” What looks different?
Absolutely nothing.
They would have had their meetings, drawn their sketches, improved the plot and the jokes, and then actually built it. What would be really interesting (and much more applicable to this article) is to know what the process looked like from the time somebody said, “Hey, let’s do a Toy Story 3″ to the time Disney said “Alright, we’re doing it.”
Everything Cal mentions above has much more to do with Disney’s emphasis on quality when producing a movie than it does with being “idea-centric” about choosing which movie to do.
It seems like what Cal was trying to say is “Just get started, but don’t be stupid about it and get into a long-term commitment with your time or money without doing some research and maybe even testing a prototype of your idea to see if other people think it’s as cool as you do.”
Just getting started is good. Making long-term commitments blindly is bad.
20Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:27 pm
Another way of wording the articles thesis: before getting started, ask yourself: “is this really the right idea to get started with?”
The Toy Story 3 writers arrived at the Pixar cabin with a plot line worked out for the movie. After a few days they scrapped it. A progress-centric person would have said: “hey, we got an idea that works, lets stop navel gaving and make a movie!”
21Brad September 14, 2010 at 4:04 pm
Cal,
Agreed on the alternate thesis.
I guess where it breaks down a little for me (and I have a feeling it is probably a matter of semantics) is the point of “getting started.”
For me,
Deciding to do a Toy Story 3 = The Idea Writing the first plot line = Just getting started Going to the Pixar Cabin, scrapping the plot line, plus the subsequent iterations and improvements = Emphasis on Quality Full scale production = It’s good enough to mass produce
It seems like for you
Deciding to do a Toy Story 3, writing the first plot line, going to the Pixar cabin, scrapping the plot line, plus the subsequent iterations and improvements = The Idea Everything else is = Just getting started.
So whether you humor me on what it means to “get started”, or I humor you, at the end of the day we’re saying the same thing.
There is tremendous value in being disciplined enough to refine your ideas. The end result may be that you scrap an idea, or it may be that you delay a huge commitment to an idea, or it may be that your idea ends up being 10 times better.
Brad

22Lee Semel September 14, 2010 at 10:05 am



This isn’t a blank-and white issue. I disagree with the idea that it’s always great to get started right away as much as I disagree with the idea that it’s always a good idea to wait and put every idea through a wringer
If you’re looking for a single killer idea that you’ll be spending years working, then I agree that it’s important to put it through the wringer. Planning your big project by systematically exploring the universe of ideas for the best makes a lot of sense in that case, especially if you already have a good deal of experience in the field, if your market is slow-changing and mostly settled, if it requires a large upfront investment, and if the opportunity cost is high.
However, getting started on something, anything in your area of interest right away also has a lot of value. For many people, holding off leads to procrastination, getting stuck endlessly looking for the killer idea, when jumping in and experimenting would be a better approach, if for nothing more than the momentum it creates.
Working on an idea right away, even if it’s a bad idea, is also valuable as a learning experience, especially if you’re new to the field and face a low opportunity cost. Even if this initial project itself isn’t a success, or only lives a short time, this will help you understand the market or audience better, experiment with different approaches, become more skilled, and determine if you even want to do the bigger project.
You often can’t tell bad ideas from good ideas at the outset, especially if you’re working in a field that’s hit-driven or fast-changing. Bad ideas can evolve into good ideas as you develop them, get more experience, and have a better understanding of your market or audience. Jumping in is a good way to uncover new, more promising, problems that you can solve, that only become apparent once you’re already working on an idea.

23Zia Hassan September 14, 2010 at 10:29 am



I think a lot of you have nailed it – both the approaches compared in this post are technically designed to move ahead with a project. Whether that means actually diving in and getting hands dirty, or doing your homework first. The latter just minimizes risk (and even that is arguable).
The thing I’ve always noticed is that I introduce ideas sometimes that “experts” think are bad ideas, or that I don’t feel terribly confident about, and that my friends think suck, etc…
And then I learn to trust the idea and work with it, and some of those ideas have become wildly successful for me. And no amount of research or homework could really predict that, though that might be due to the nature of my work (music & stage stuff).
So, I totally agree that it has to be a case-by-case thing, and the skill really comes from knowing which approach to use depending on the situation.
I mean, if you wanted to get started with a business, running a coffee shop let’s say, I’d tell you to get started. Do I mean you should go max out your credit card, lease a space, and buy tons of coffee? Of course not – I mean, start by trying to make some coffee to sell to people at events, and see how it goes (aka, doing solid research to justify a huge investment of time & money later on).

24Chris Parsons September 14, 2010 at 10:35 am



I disagree with this completely. I think Cal’s advice is geared to his own unique situation, and is really not applicable to most business people. There is no implementation in academics – all they have is ideas, so of course ideas matter more in that field. In the business world, even a mediocre idea can be very profitable. Further, research and due diligence are a part of action and implementation – these are not mutually exclusive. The advice to “just get started” certainly isn’t meant to imply that businesses should be started with no planning!

25ahow628 September 14, 2010 at 10:35 am



This has been quite three debated topic recently. We’ve discussed it over in B1k and now Lifehacker just pushed another article about it:
http://lifehacker.com/5637778/counterpoint-getting-started-is-not-overrated-its-just-not-for-everyone
26Cal Newport September 14, 2010 at 1:29 pm
That article on Lifehacker is one I wrote a couple years ago (and linked to in the post here on Ramit’s site.) In a turn of coincidence, they reposted it around the same time my guest post went live here.
27ahow628 September 14, 2010 at 5:13 pm
Yeah, Cal, I had seen it the first time they posted it before I had started doing any freelancing and I was scoffing at it. It is amazing how my feelings on it have changed. Personally, I’ve had to find a middle ground between avoiding planning to perfection and avoid work altogether.
To clarify, the article I linked to above is a new one from today. It is by a Lifehacker Australia writer.
Thanks for the guest post. Ramit always makes excellent choices.

28Stanley Lee September 14, 2010 at 10:41 am



Cal,
I noticed how consistent the regular meetings are. I’ve noticed from my undergrad research assistant experience that my advisors ended up either rambling on too long in a meeting (i.e. making 1 hour meeting into 2+ hours), or got too busy that they didn’t meet to talk about potential ideas to pursue for publications.
Back to the main point. Getting started is overrated, except when doing it blindly like a progress-centric person. It’s getting started on the right that have been tested for its validity w/o blowing off excessive commitments on testing. Too invested in the wrong ideas can be devastating in terms of time and energy spent on it (e.g. students blindly getting started in joining clubs to impress or please other people, only to get their credentials burned in the end).
That’s my $0.02.
Stanley

29Ben Shive September 14, 2010 at 11:24 am



I had difficulty with this because ‘just get started’ doesn’t mean that you blindly forge ahead and fail to do your homework. I write software. I might say to myself, wouldn’t it be awesome if there was a website that did X&Y? If a google search turns up an already-popular one that does both, there’s no point. But I ‘got started’ and made the effort to investigate first.

30Jesse September 14, 2010 at 1:27 pm



@Ben, I don’t know. Sometimes having competitors in the space is validation that you could do well there!
I used the fact that I found a few other competitors out there selling “my idea” as a proof of concept. I just thought I could sell mine better, so I forged ahead :)

31Anthony September 14, 2010 at 4:46 pm



I think small projects could be given more of the “progress-centric” approach – get it to 80% and get it out the door. Now, if you’re working on large or important project, something that takes significant time, energy, or resources, then absolutely – give it 10x the thought. Brought up some great issues with how you allocate your time, thanks!